A lot has occurred lately and I have been watching it closely in regards to the dysfunctional Iraqi government. It looks like the Iraqi PM Maliki has made some decisions against the US and in more inline with Shi’ite cleric Moqtada al-Sadr, when PM Maliki, ordered the US army to remove the checkpoints around Sadr City.
PM Maliki, is snubbing the US administration in favor of the Iranian backed Shi’ite Cleric Moqtada Al-Sadr. I believe PM Maliki, knows his days are numbered and that when he signs the Oil Investment law, he won’t be needed anymore.
Big oil is just waiting on the side lines to enter Iraq however, PM Maliki, will either sign the Oil investment by the end of the year or early next year and possibly place a provision in the law where it can not be fully implemented until such time the parameter or clause is fulfilled.
Basically, postponing the full implementation of the Law, or PM Maliki will just keep delaying the signing of the oil investment law altogether. This is evident by him saying recently “I am a friend of the United States, but I am not America’s man in Iraq.”
I predict by 14 February, Valentines day PM Maliki will no longer be the PM of Iraq and replaced by someone who is not so keen on western democracy and will be more towards Islamic law and not has friendly towards the United States and very friendly with Iran.