As I predicted last November 18 (actually last June in private conversations with the owner of the Baby Biltmore) that the current PM Maliki would be replaced and now with his Wall Street Journal interview he admittedly states that he wishes to end his term as PM even sooner.
Most in the Iraqi Parliament would agree PM Maliki is ineffective and needs to be replaced if Iraq is ever going to improve. Someone that will move to disband the militias or go to battle against them and not be beholden to them as PM Maliki has repeatedly showed some favoritism in the past.
This is going to be hard to do, replacing the PM with someone that will go up against the Militias who control and strongly influence the Iraqi government. Such as the Firebrand Shia Cleric/commander who as of right now controls six Cabinet seats in PM Maliki government and 30 seats in the Iraqi Parliament.
Remember PM Maliki promised a reshuffle of his cabinet by the end of the year, well he is hoping that he is one of them. Noticed that no one has been shuffled as of yet. Maybe the PM is thinking if he can’t be shuffled then no one gets shuffled.
I still hold that PM Maliki will leave office and will step down by Valentines Day. I could be wrong and he stays on at the detriment of the Iraqi people who suffer from not having an effective government that they had elected in December 2005.
Iraq before the sanctions and before the Iraq and Iran war was the premier Arab country in the Middle East and were number one in a lot of areas and Industries. They can achieve more and have the best economy in the region just have to get past the current situation. The positive spot in all this is that Iraq’s economy will continue to grow despite the violence that plagues it daily and this is not publicized enough.
In 2007 I expect the economy to grow faster as the Banking infrastructure improves, the Electronic Trading of the Iraq Stock Exchange goes online in June 2007, the International Compact is signed later in the year, the final installment with the Stand By Agreement (SBA) in March 2007 by the International Monetary Fund (IMF), More Oil production and Oil sales, the increased in value of the Iraqi Dinar. I think you get the picture.
In any case the year 2007 for Iraq will be exciting and very much looking forward to Iraq achieving its greatness it had achieved long ago in the Arab region.