On 19 Aug American Contractor Intel (AC-I), wrote there would be a meeting in Damascus with the winning political blocs with the exception of the out going Prime Minister Nuri Al-Maliki. No other media has mentioned anything about this meeting until today. Just pointing this out that your getting at least from me the most accurate information and analysis about Iraq and at times ahead of the print media. In this instance it is four days before the press media published the Damascus meet.
American Contractor Post 19 Aug 2010:
It looks like a very important meeting will be held in Damascus, Syria with all the wining political blocs. The only person that will not get an invite is the out going Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki. This meeting has the backing of Arabs and Turkey. They say they want to end the crisis of forming a government without any Iranian or U.S. Influence.
The Damascus meeting is going ahead and it will be near the end of Ramadan. I had thought the meeting was canceled as I did state this on 21 August however, it will be taking place.
Allawi, Iraqi Shiite cleric to visit Damascus
U.N. Troops in Iraq
I have stated in the past that there is no U.N. Troops in Iraq and no U.S. troops changing their uniforms to designated U.N. uniforms. In order for U.N. designated troops to enter and operate in Iraq they have to be invited by the Iraqi government. Another thing that must occur is new U.N. resolutions passed by the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) and with the support of the international community.
The international community has to be involved because a country that is a member of the U.N. has to be willing to send their Army as U.N. peacekeepers. I don’t believe at this point in time there is support for a contingent of U.N. troops when the current U.S. administration wants to withdrawal from Iraq.
An Associated Press article on 6 July 2010, titled US eyes UN troops for Iraq after 2011, in this article US Army General Ray Odierno, stated that UN peacekeepers maybe an option if Kurdish soldiers have not integrated into the Iraqi Army. The article states that the decision for the U.N. peacekeeping forces is up to the Iraqi government.
Odierno is also quoted saying: “I don’t see a large U.S. presence here. I really don’t,” he said. “They might want technical support, but again, that’s their decision, not ours.” The United Nations would need to approve a resolution before sending peacekeeping troops to Iraq, and doing so would significantly change its political mission. The current UN mission in Iraq does not include support for peacekeepers.
The General also said that the current UN mission in Iraq does not include support for peacekeepers.
The U.N. Spokeswoman in Baghdad referred all questions about the potential of U.N. peacekeepers to the Iraqi government and the UNSC.
US eyes UN troops for Iraq after 2011
I think this puts an end to any thoughts of U.N. troops in Iraq until maybe after 2011 if were lucky. I do believe the Kurdish Peshmerga forces will be integrated into the Iraqi Army so that U.N. troops will not be needed.
If you wish to debate this further please contact me back channels at my email address.
I mentioned that Dr. Iyad Allawi, had received two working papers from the State of Law political group. I have some insight on the two working papers of some of the details.
First Paper: Principals of National Partnership in the decision making and levels of participation in the next government; and active participation that ensures the rule of law for all.
Second: Reforms in the state establishments; legislative, executive, and judicial branches. The state to shoulder its responsibilities and build establishments that no side or party can usurp.
The Iraqi government needs new mechanisms on how they do business. It needs to be more streamlined and user friendly. I am sure Dr. Allawi, will enact some reforms when he becomes the next Prime Minister. Then international business can be more comfortable with investing and conducting business in Iraq.
Things are looking up between the two political blocs. The Al-Iraqiyah list has ended the suspension with the State of Law political bloc. Remember the SOL bloc had insulted the Al-Iraqiyah calling it basically a Sunni component. Things are well now since Dr. Allawi had sent papers to the out going Prime Minister Nuri Al-Maliki and received responses to the papers. The papers are related to the National Partnership, the decision making process and other issues.
This week we all hope will be tense for all the political blocs as we hope something positive comes at the end of this week however, don’t get all excited just yet. The Kurdish Alliance is sitting on the fence.
The National Alliance will name there candidate for the Prime Minister position this week and also the person for the Chairman of the council of ministers. My prediction is that they will pick Al-Maliki.
Dr. Allawi and out going Prime Minister Nuri Al-Maliki will meet this week.
Will this week resolve the three presidencies? I am not so sure. Out going Prime Minister Al-Maliki, is considering his two options. Either the President or a member of Parliament. All options are still up in the air.
The Interior Ministry is preparing to take over all Security matters in the cities from the Ministry of Defense. After all the chaos these last several months it might be a good move since after the move the MoI would have control of the Security Forces and the Intelligence Service.
Thank you for reading.
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American Contractor has been living in the Middle East and Central Asia since 2003.